TY - GEN
T1 - E-Democracy
T2 - 5th International Conference on Distance Education and Learning, ICDEL 2020
AU - Montenegro, Carlos Daniel
AU - Nunes-Da-Silva, Pedro
AU - Montenegro, Carlos
N1 - Publisher Copyright:
© 2020 ACM.
PY - 2020/5/20
Y1 - 2020/5/20
N2 - This research shows that the Regression Discontinuity Design (RDD) can be applied to close presidential elections worldwide to obtain samples of elections whose outcome - -leadership change or leadership continuation - -is assigned quasi-experimentally. It is shown that the number of close presidential elections is sufficiently numerous to fulfil regression discontinuity demands. Furthermore, a robustness checks reveals that the sample indeed behaves quasi-experimentally, as the assignment of electoral outcomes is independent of pre-election characteristics. Using this sample, researchers can estimate the causal effect of leadership changes on the substantive outcome of interest - -for instance, sovereign debt defaults - -without worrying too much for selection effects or omitted variable biases. The study contributes to the modelling of e-Democracy processes, including the elections, the mechanisms and their significance.
AB - This research shows that the Regression Discontinuity Design (RDD) can be applied to close presidential elections worldwide to obtain samples of elections whose outcome - -leadership change or leadership continuation - -is assigned quasi-experimentally. It is shown that the number of close presidential elections is sufficiently numerous to fulfil regression discontinuity demands. Furthermore, a robustness checks reveals that the sample indeed behaves quasi-experimentally, as the assignment of electoral outcomes is independent of pre-election characteristics. Using this sample, researchers can estimate the causal effect of leadership changes on the substantive outcome of interest - -for instance, sovereign debt defaults - -without worrying too much for selection effects or omitted variable biases. The study contributes to the modelling of e-Democracy processes, including the elections, the mechanisms and their significance.
KW - Close elections
KW - Presidential elections
KW - Regression Discontinuity
KW - Regression Discontinuity in R
UR - https://www.scopus.com/pages/publications/85090905565
U2 - 10.1145/3402569.3402596
DO - 10.1145/3402569.3402596
M3 - Contribución a la conferencia
AN - SCOPUS:85090905565
T3 - ACM International Conference Proceeding Series
SP - 142
EP - 147
BT - Proceedings of the 2020 5th International Conference on Distance Education and Learning, ICDEL 2020
PB - Association for Computing Machinery
Y2 - 22 May 2020 through 25 May 2020
ER -