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Frontier land use change: Synthesis, challenges, and next steps

  • Ronald R. Rindfuss*
  • , Barbara Entwisle
  • , Stephen J. Walsh
  • , Carlos F. Mena
  • , Christine M. Erlien
  • , Clark L. Gray
  • *Corresponding author for this work
  • University of North Carolina
  • East-West Center
  • University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

81 Scopus citations

Abstract

Profound social, economic, and environmental changes that include new land management practices are often associated with advancing agricultural frontiers. We argue that existing approaches to case studies do not allow for clear generalization or the systematic testing of hypotheses. As an alternative, our study uses Mill's method of agreement approach to synthesize results from seven long-term case studies of land cover change in frontier areas. We identify a number of generalizations that hold across the specific case studies. We also identify changes in the spatial organization of land use in agricultural frontier areas, which are typically characterized by agricultural expansion, growing population, and transportation improvements. We then evaluate the methodological strengths and weaknesses of Mill's method of agreement based on use in this study. Finally, we argue that agent-based models, using virtual landscapes and the logic of demographic standardization, are an important next step to facilitate methodologically defensible comparisons across case studies.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)739-754
Number of pages16
JournalAnnals of the Association of American Geographers
Volume97
Issue number4
DOIs
StatePublished - Dec 2007
Externally publishedYes

UN SDGs

This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

  1. SDG 15 - Life on Land
    SDG 15 Life on Land

Keywords

  • Agent-based models
  • Case comparisons
  • Frontier
  • Landuse change
  • Population dynamics

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